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Q&A: A conversation with Evy McPherson

In Mexico, it’s even better the second time around

Jody Feagan, director of content and women’s initiatives for SX International, recently spoke to Evy McPherson about her 4-year-old interior design group and her return to San Miguel de Allende, Mexico.


Originally from the United States, Evy McPherson recently moved back to San Miguel de Allende, Mexico for the second time.  Speaking with Sovereign X’s Jody Feagan, Evy took a break from her interior design business to talk about reimagining her life as an expat and relocating to this beautiful little hamlet, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, nestled in the Sierra Madre mountains of central Mexico.

“Honestly, it was one of those things that chose me.  I couldn’t help myself— the pull was too strong,” Evy said about her decision to move to Mexico, again.

And it’s even better the second time around.

In 2005, Evy and her then-husband, Jerry, visited San Miguel de Allende to celebrate their 25th wedding anniversary. They immediately fell in love with the charming city and bought a house as a rental property. Jerry, a road guitarist for Tim McGraw and Faith Hill, traveled a great deal of the time, leaving Evy to solo parent along with working full time at her design business.

That was when Evy decided to take some time off and spend it with their daughter, Miro, at their new house in Mexico.

What follows are excerpts from our conversation about Evy’s life experiences in Mexico.

Q: What was the impetus for you to move to Mexico?

A: Jerry was traveling all the time and I had a busy interior design practice in Nashville and needed a break. San Miguel de Allende was the perfect place to take a sabbatical. I just didn’t know it was going to last three years.  

Also, I had worked pretty intensely during my daughter’s first 11 years of life so the break was a fabulous opportunity for me to be a full-time parent.  I realized I had the rest of my life to design someone’s kitchen but I would only have one chance at being her mom.  

Q: At 11 years of age, what was your daughter’s reaction to moving to Mexico?

A: At first she was more than angry with me, as it was unexpected— moved during the middle of the school year.  

At first, I bribed her with Nutella sandwiches for her school lunch, which was more her favorite than the normal PB&J.  I also offered sleep-overs with friends during the week instead of just weekends.  

We lived pretty close to the school, so that seemed to work well for the other parents too.  Eventually, she grew to love it. And I could see that living in San Miguel de Allende was a fabulous opportunity for her to be a kid.  At that time, the kids could run to each others’ houses, do fashion shows on the rooftop and have scavenger hunts around town.

A favorite pastime was for her to put on shoes, walk down to the Jardin and have them polished at the shoeshine stand. Then walk home for another pair and repeat.  Living in Mexico was an experience she’ll remember for the rest of her life.  A true life-changer. So much so that she’s planning her wedding here in June 2022.

San Miguel has become “the” place for destinations weddings. But having spent a portion of her childhood there will I’m sure make it all the more special. And it just so happens that her wedding planner used to babysit her!

Q: Was Mexico an easy place to meet people and make friends?

A: I can’t say enough about the people— kindhearted and lovely.  

The first day we moved into our house after months of noisy construction, one of the neighbors came and knocked on our door.  At the time, not knowing any Spanish, we could only guess her reason for being there. After giving her a tour of our house and doing our best to apologize for the construction noise, we realized that she was inviting us to her house for a Three Kings Day celebration. And we ended up being their guests of honor.

(Editor’s note: Three Kings Day is celebrated on January 6, it’s one of the oldest traditions in Mexico where children wake up and open the gifts that the Three Kings of the East have left at the Christmas tree or near the representation of the Nativity).

After two delightful hours of celebration where we drank hot chocolate and atole (a traditional Mexican drink that’s made with corn flour) and ate delicious food, including a wreath-shaped pastry called Rosca de Reyes, with a figurine of baby Jesus baked inside.

We later figured out that the person who got this piece was then obliged to host the next party.

We returned home so touched that anyone could be so kind. Even though neither family could understand each other’s language, somehow we all just knew how to communicate. It was a sweet beginning to friendship.

Q: Your daughter attended a small private school with children from all over the world. How would you rate her educational experience? What were the costs compared to private school tuition in the U.S.?

A: I can’t remember the exact cost, but it was quite reasonable. It was more or less the same education with an extra bonus of the priceless experience of living in another country and experiencing a different culture. The most interesting part was that when it was time to return to the states, the high school she wanted to attend was pretty competitive and difficult to get into, especially at the eighth-grade level. 

But because we were coming from a ‘third world country,’ she was placed in a ‘minority’ category and that helped her in the application process.  That was a nice surprise.

Q: With your daughter starting high school, you returned to Nashville. Your older son, Miles, and his wife, who also live in Nashville, had a baby on the way. You wanted to be closer to them, so another reason to move back to the states. Fast-forward nine years to 2017 and you’re back in San Miguel de Allende. You bought another home and started your own business. Tell us about that.

A: The second time happened was in 2017 when I went for a return visit and remarked, “Uh-oh I think it’s happening again”. As I said, honestly, it was one of those things that chose me.  I couldn’t help myself – the pull was too strong.   

During that trip, I put an offer on a house in San Miguel de Allende, went back to Nashville to sell everything including my house and car and returned back to San Miguel de Allende in less than 50 days to start my new life: Part B.

I started my interior designer business, Evy McPherson Interiors, and created my website, www.evyevyevy.com. My title is “Boots on the Ground”.  I’m the conduit of sorts between local architects/contractors and owners that usually live in the states or elsewhere.  I not only do the interior design but, help manage the renovation or build-out of projects.  I keep a close ear to the ground for exceptional properties so it’s happened that I’ve found and facilitated helping people buy houses (sometimes sight unseen). Then it ends up that I usually do the design work for them too. 

Q: Was buying a home in Mexico a difficult process?

A: No, it was not a difficult process at all—straightforward—and there are qualified people to walk you through it. Contrary to popular belief, as an American, one can own property in Mexico.  

(Editor’s Note: Mexico has a “Restricted Zone,” a regulation that makes it illegal for a foreigner to directly own property within 100km of any Mexican border, or 50km from any Mexican coastline. However, through a Fideicomiso, it is perfectly legal for non-Mexican nationals to own real estate within these zones. A Mexican bank is designated as the trustee, holds the title of the property, and is the owner of the record. A non-Mexican buyer then becomes the beneficiary of the real estate trust and enjoys unrestricted use of the land (along with the options of renting or selling it). Once the trust expires after 50 years, the beneficiary has a contractual right to renew, rent, sell, or bequeath the property to whomever they choose.)

Q: You also got your Mexican permanent residency. What was that process like?

A: Although a lot of information was required, it was not difficult to obtain. And there’s a number of qualified people to walk you through the process.

Q: How is your Spanish?

A: Hah, it could be so much better. If I’m working with a crew that only speaks Spanish, then it’s pretty good. But San Miguel de Allende caters to foreigners, so speaking Spanish is not a must. And that typically goes for most major cities. 

Q: I’m sure the question about safety comes up a lot from your friends in the U.S. As a woman, living alone, living life on your terms, do you feel safe in Mexico? Do you feel comfortable walking alone?

A: Like in any city, anywhere, use common sense. And I don’t walk alone at night. I always take a cab. I’d also say to leave the heels and flashy jewelry at home.

Q: Would you say your quality of life is better living in Mexico?

A: Yes. It’s a less stressful environment day-to-day, and I have a better work-life balance than in the U.S.

Q: What’s the cost of living? I’m guessing it’s much better than in the U.S.

A: Yes, yes, and yes!  Everything about the cost of living is considerably less. I think the biggest surprise for people would be the cost of buying a house.  If you live in the Centro— in the historic district—then it’s not a bargain although the cost of renovation is less. (Editor’s Note: Expect to pay anywhere from $750,000 to $5 million US for a house in the historic district.)

I’ve also found quality health care that’s affordable. I just had a root canal and even though it wasn’t pleasant, it was excellent dental care at a significantly less cost compared to the U.S.

Q: Most people only dream about what you’ve done— not just once, but twice. And the second time around, you did it all on your own. That’s impressive but it couldn’t have been easy at times. Do you have any advice about things you’ve learned for someone interested in moving to San Miguel de Allende?

A: I think one strong piece of advice would be to rent instead of buying at first. I did okay buying my home, but I was lucky from a timing standpoint. It really does help to live here a while before committing to an area. We recently had flooding in some areas and you would only know that if you lived here for a while.

Time also allows you to develop friend groups.  People are amazingly friendly and San Miguel is a very social place—but just like anywhere, it takes time to make real connections.  I, fortunately, had opportunities to meet people when my daughter was in school the first time. This time I have my work and that keeps me busy meeting vendors, craftspeople but also presents me an opportunity to get to know a number of residents. There are lots of nonprofit organizations here and opportunities to volunteer. The language school are a really good place to meet people, too.  If not for one of those, it could be rather lonely at first.

Q: Do you see this as a permanent move or are you planning to live somewhere else in the world?

A: San Miguel is a really good fit for me, so I can’t imagine moving— at least, not anytime soon.  Every time I travel—even if it’s just for a short trip—when I return, I’m always so impressed with what an amazing and magical place this is. I’m very happy here.

Editor’s note: This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

 

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You Can Take It With You

Jody Feagan, writing from Santa Fe

Type the words “draft picks” into Google search at this time of year and you’ll be able to examine any number of pages dedicated to helping the millions of people all over the world who have signed up for the fanatical, time-sucking hobby of Fantasy Football.

My team’s name is Los Dragones (Spanish for “The Dragons”), which makes me the Mother of Dragons.

I’ve been playing Fantasy Football for over 20 years. I joined a group of fellow expats when I first moved to Mexico. While I loved my new life abroad, the one thing I missed was American football. It didn’t take long however to find others, who, like me, missed the weekly gridiron action. It was then that I realized that with Fantasy Football, you can take it with you.

While I will be the first to admit that I really don’t have time for this s#@t, I can’t help myself. I love it. Apparently, I’m not alone. According to the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association, there are over 150 million people playing fantasy sports worldwide.

In my book, there are five seasons in a year. Winter, spring, summer, fall, and football season. Now, you can pretty much live anywhere and still be wrapped up in the world of American football, as owner and general manager of your very own virtual team, which you can christen with a cool name like No Punt Intended, Captains Crunch, or, in my case, Los Dragones.

Last night was my league’s draft. I left work early, raced home, and powered up my laptop minutes before the starting bell rang. I entered the chat room to meet up with my trash-talking league mates, a bunch of guys with plenty of time on their hands. Some had probably spent the last month and a half dithering over running back stats.

I wasn’t fazed.

I can hold my own among the chatter. I know that when the Patriots have the ball with third down and 12 at midfield the Seahawks will likely line up in a nickel formation to jam up the middle and maximize pass coverage.

I also know what the best play call of the game is going to be. (See below)

For your draft, you can get expert advice on strategies, statistics on the top-ranking players, the inside scoop on sleepers, and a list of first-round busts. There are cheat sheets and advice columns and blogs dedicated to aiding in the proliferation of this “sport,” which generated around seven billion dollars last year, an amount larger than the budget of many small countries.

For my draft, I managed to steer through the chaos, shut out all the chatter, and organize my team, not based on the advice of some self-styled, think-they-know-it-all sports junkie, but on my very own proven scientific evidence. I go with my gut.

After all, I am a woman, and a woman’s intuition is a powerful thing.

In our league, we don’t play for money. We play for something more important. We play for pride. I am, by the way, last year’s reigning champ, the proud winner of my league, which consists of me and nine other men.

It’s not as easy as I make it sound. In the many years I’ve been playing fantasy football, I’ve only won one other time.

The season always starts out so bright, with so much hope. After a week or two comes the inevitable anguish when some high-ranking running back will end up on the injured reserve list for six weeks and my mid-season wire trade goes south. But there can be that come-outta-nowhere wide receiver I picked up in a late-round, who racks up a 100-yards in a day and, just like that, I’m back in the ballgame.

This year’s National Football League season kicks off in a matter of days. And it looks like my best team yet.

I got Tom Brady for Christ’s sake and Derrick Henry and George Kittle. Who can possibly beat that? I can feel it. The Mother of Dragons’ team is going to breathe fire. Scorch their opponents. Kickass. And take names. And do some awesome end zone dances.

And, oh by the way, the best play of the game… with possession of the ball and the clock ticking down… will be taking a knee for the win.

Yeah, baby. Football season is finally here.


Jody Feagan is the director of content and women’s initiatives for Sovereign X’s SX International. She specializes in working with women who are interested in creating their best lives. She lived and raised three children as an expat for more than 10 years. She is the founder and former director of the San Miguel Writers Conference and Literary Festival in San Miguel de Allende, Mexico. She is a journalism graduate of the University of Kansas.

 

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AI + UBI = BTC

Brett Holmes, writing from San Miguel de Allende

Editor’s Note: As an update to a post from our 2019 archives, it remains to be seen what the financial shocks of a post-COVID-19 world will mean for cryptocurrency markets, AI, and big data. One thing, however, is clear: we’re in a transition to automation, assisted by the developing wave of AI and crypto, which many influencers, including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, believe will remove the kind of antiquated systems that promoted low-cost (industrial age) human labor, as well as legacy government initiatives that are extractive, such as taxation. Automation, if deployed well, promises a magnitude of socioeconomic change. And it’s coming sooner than most people believe.


Imagine a world where there was a need to protect your long-term economic viability. You would need to protect your job, your house, and even your ability to make a living. The big question is why would you need to? The answer to that is simple: the inevitable mass adoption of artificial intelligence (AI).

AI will no doubt create a global economic disruption that will impact everyone. All socioeconomic groups. All markets. All peoples. Everyone.

The good news is that you will get the bad news about this disruption early. The even better news is that you can follow a simple action plan to protect yourself and possibly make a lot of money between now and the time Skynet comes online.

The AI Shockwave

In technical circles, AI is called deep learning.  Deep learning’s big technical break arrived in the mid-2000s when leading researcher Geoffrey Hinton discovered a new way to efficiently train computer networks to think better. The big pivot came in 2012 when a neural network built by Hinton’s team demolished the competition in an international computer vision/reading contest. 

Deep learning is what’s known as “narrow AI.” It is computer intelligence from one specific domain that is then applied to generate a very specific outcome. The “specific outcome” aspect of AI allows major corporations and sovereign governments to create capabilities that allow for the replacement of millions of jobs over the next 10 years.   

Academia and big consulting firms are already doing estimates of the job losses that come from the mass adoption of AI. Within 15 years, artificial intelligence may technically be able to replace around 30 to 50 percent of U.S. jobs.

A pair of researchers at Oxford University kicked things off in a 2013 white paper, making a dire prediction: 47% of U.S. jobs could be automated within the next decade or two. In early 2017, researchers at PwC came up with a finding—38% of jobs in the United States were at high risk of automation by the early 2030s.

Few, if any, experts predicted that deep learning was going to get this good, this fast. Those unexpected improvements are expanding the realm of the possible when it comes to real-world uses and thus job disruptions.

Within ten to twenty years, 40%-50% percent of jobs in the United States can be automated. For employees who are not outright replaced, increasing automation of their workload will continue to cut into their value-add for the company, reducing their bargaining power on wages and potentially leading to layoffs in the long term.

These estimates are in line with those from the most recent research that attempted to put a number on actual job losses. A February 2018 study by the consulting firm Bain and Company took a macro-level approach, seeking to understand the interplay of three major forces acting on the global economy: demographics, automation, and inequality.

Bain’s analysis produced a startling bottom-line conclusion: by 2030, employers will need 20 to 25 percent fewer employees, a percentage that would equal 30 to 40 million displaced workers in the United States. The study calculated that if we include both displacement and wage suppression, a full 80 percent of all workers will be affected.

UBI and the Digital Dollar

Global technology giants are more than aware of the disruptions AI will bring.

In March of 2018, Facebook co-founder Chris Hughes became one of the first in Silicon Valley to discuss Universal Basic Income (UBI). His proposal was to tax anyone making over $250,000 and raise over $3 Trillion over a 10-year period. That $3 trillion would then be distributed by giving $500 per month to every American making under $50,000 US. Assistance would also be provided to anyone taking care of children or the elderly.

Hughes doesn’t mention the inevitable surge in AI as the reason to have a UBI program in place. In the event of social unrest from a societal economic shock, ire, and even violence will likely be directed at Silicon Valley. Better for Silicon Valley to volunteer to have itself taxed than face eight years of being taxed by soon-to-be U.S. President Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

At Sovereign X, we believe that UBI is an interesting yet unproven option. Current attempts to stimulate economic growth simply are not working. Central bank stimulus is backfiring. Instead of driving demand for goods or raising wages, liquidity injections are being used in government bonds. This demand for bonds has driven rates to extreme levels.

As of the writing of this report, Bloomberg reports that $17 Trillion dollars of all bonds worldwide trade with a negative interest rate. To put that in perspective, a negative interest rate means that you pay somebody to borrow money from you.  It’s effectively like paying a fee for storage. Except it’s not for storage of junk from your first apartment—it’s your money.

With the pervasive nature of negative rates, the next round of monetary and fiscal stimulus will be vastly different than what we have seen over the last 10 years. The next round may see the government “printing money” and giving it directly to people. At SX we call this, the “digital Dollar.”

These digital dollars will be delivered to a cryptocurrency wallet residing on a phone or computer. The beauty of the digital dollar is that it can be earmarked to buy a wide range of products. This way the digital dollar doesn’t get used for buying stocks and real estate. It goes to help people survive.

While the digital dollar and UBI will ensure people’s survival, we do see a huge unintended consequence.

As more and more digital dollars are created, the image of the Dollar itself may change. People who are not receiving UBI may seek to hold cryptocurrencies that are not and cannot be printed and doled out by governments worldwide. We also think cryptocurrencies will benefit from the inevitable capital flight that occurs when federal and state governments levy taxes on wealth itself. If a government is going to take 10% of your bank account, there could be stunning demand for fast-moving mechanisms to move and store money outside the traditional banking system.

We also see a scenario where people receiving UBI use the digital Dollar to purchase necessities. They then take fiat wages from any job they have and use it to purchase a cryptocurrency.  By putting what they earn into a cryptocurrency, low-income earners will be able to stretch their wages further.

We think those cryptocurrencies that stand to benefit the most will be Bitcoin (and, possibly, Ethereum) and a cryptocurrency yet to be created. Most likely the second cryptocurrency will be created by a group of governments that make up the G7. This instrument will likely mirror what Facebook is trying to do with Libra. Like Libra, the sovereign cryptocurrency will likely follow a basket of currencies. Bitcoin and the new major cryptos will be included in the basket this “sovereign libra” will follow. So, the sovereign crypto will create even more demand for Bitcoin (and Ethereum).

In any scenario, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies stand to appreciate substantially over the next 10-years. UBI will go from being an intellectual curiosity to something required to usher humanity through the emergence of AI. The destruction in the purchasing power of fiat money that comes as a result of UBI (and associated tax policies) will fuel the demand for cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin price appreciation could be so dramatic, that we see sovereign governments getting into the crypto game. Countries will race each other to associate their fiat currency with traditional crypto, bitcoin in particular.

There’s good reason to believe that an investment in crypto today will protect your wealth from the coming shock from the adoption of A.I. and government responses to that shock. The cryptocurrency investment adoption process is still in the second inning of a possible extra-innings game.


Brett Holmes is co-founder and a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

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Hong Kong—Welcome to the Battle of Bitcoin

Brett Holmes, writing from Mexico City

Editor’s Note: Few would dispute that China’s recent crackdown on cryptocurrency trading and mining has contributed to the recent plunge in the value of bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptos. But while the argument rages about whether the volatility of cryptos is a sign of fundamental weakness or merely a bump in the road, the initiatives coming out of Beijing are seen as a sign of China’s attempts to incubate its own fledgling e-currency and reboot the international financial system.

This post from our 2019 archives shows the escalation of this war against Bitcoin and crypto started with a battle in the former British colony of Hong Kong on August 28, 2019.


A new war is being waged, thanks to the pro-democracy, anti-government protest movement in Hong Kong.

We’ve had cold wars, world wars, the War on Terror, and proxy wars. We now have the Battle of Bitcoin, and there’s no doubt that the battle hymn of the crypto republic is playing right now in the streets of Hong Kong.

Even with volatility in the markets, bitcoin is trading at a premium in Hong Kong, likely because Hong Kong’s current laissez-faire capitalist economy may soon be a thing of the past. The sudden drop in bitcoin’s price on August 28 can be best explained by a looming Chinese threat to block capital flows out of Hong Kong, with the bitcoin network as its primary target.

While Chinese government officials can be accused of many things, stupidity isn’t one of them. Xi’s regime will not fall into the trap of sending tanks into Hong Kong. Having a sequel to Tiananmen Square broadcast live on Twitter is not in their best interest.

Indeed, the Chinese will continue to rattle their swords in order to stir up fear, but there definitely won’t be military boots on the ground. Instead, the Chinese will create the financial equivalent of a naval blockade of Hong Kong. In this case, navy ships won’t be involved like they were in the prolonged British naval blockade of Germany in World War I. They will do their best to ensnare the many fortunes tied up in Hong Kong real estate, investment institutions, and global currencies. 

And the first target? Bitcoin: the apolitical, borderless currency that has surged against a backdrop of other forms of economic activism. And, from the perspective of the Communist Party of China, it’s a perfectly sensible response.

As protesters initiate actions to withdraw as much money as possible from their bank accounts, as preemptive protection of their personal assets and a not-so-subtle warning to Chinese authorities, Crypto has become a prime target. It was reported by Reuters in June that a number of Hong Kong’s tycoons—a city which counts 853 individuals worth more than $100 million—had begun to move their personal wealth offshore.

Should the protest movement fail to prevent China’s divisive extradition bill from becoming law, the Chinese government will have the right to demand that Hong Kong courts freeze and confiscate assets related to crimes committed on the mainland.

The crypto price drops this week demonstrates that the Chinese government can and will do anything in its power to manipulate cryptocurrency markets.

Much of the computer power used to maintain the bitcoin blockchain network resides in China. Entities are referred to as miners because they receive a reward for providing computing power to the bitcoin network. The more power that they provide the network, the greater their reward.  If the Chinese are intent on negatively manipulating bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies—thus mitigating the flow of capital from Hong Kong—communist officials can pressure Chinese miners, affecting the massive flow of electricity to cryptocurrency mining facilities.

And, by the way, the Chinese government is also in control of the Internet. If the bitcoin network suddenly slows to the speed of an antiquated AOL dial-up account, crypto suffers and the Chinese discover a new lever against the free market system.

Even with the trade war having no impact on China’s rise as a world power, to date, the Xi government has not witnessed anything on the scale of Hong Kong. Arguably, neither has anyone else, as an organized, unified revolt of this nature is heretofore unheard of in major global financial centers.

Ironically, the only way a communist can truly fight a capitalist is to limit the free flow of capital.  Although bitcoin is a fraction of other larger markets, such as equities, the crypto asset is both a symbol of free-thinking and a way for people to move capital so they may live life on their own terms. And invest on their terms.

If the Chinese want to disrupt that idea of free-thinking, and free-spending, there’s no better target than bitcoin.  

But a word to the wise: Bitcoin is stronger and more resilient than the Chinese or, for that matter, any other sovereign government. In the global struggle of Man vs. the Politburo, I invite the Chinese to take their best shot.


Brett Holmes is co-founder and a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

 

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America’s killing fields – Part 3

Jack Cranston, writing from Geneva

Editor’s Note: According to an exposé in The Atlantic earlier this year, the U.S. government “maintains a kill list of people whom it condemns to die in secret and kills with drones.” Yet drone killings, which include American citizens, mete out death to individuals who have never been charged, tried, or convicted.

Sound familiar?

This is part 3 of a three-part series from Jack Cranston’s archives which illuminated this practice in 2012.

Unfortunately, the United States’ actions have only escalated during the past decade. These killings began under President George W. Bush, exploded under President Barack Obama, and accelerated under President Trump.

According to Rolling Stone, reports estimate that Trump upped the pace of drone attacks by about four to five times the Obama rate, which itself was 10 times the rate of Bush. I am deeply saddened and disturbed watching mainstream America collectively sleepwalk while a nightmare unfolds in front of their very eyes.

In part 2 of this series, we examined the key points of a recently leaked U.S. Department of Justice memo detailing the protocol for dispatching drones to kill U.S. citizens.  Part 2 addressed the stunningly broad definition of an “associated force” that the U.S. Government established to justify drone-strike killings.

The Obama administration ignores the U.S. legal prohibition against assassinations and pursues extra-judicial and unconstitutional killings as long as they are conducted according to their interpretation of “law of war principles.” Citizens are sleepwalking because they blindly trust government officials to kill America’s enemies in a way that keeps American casualties at a minimum. 

What could be better than our infallible and completely honorable government leaders identifying enemies and efficiently dispatching drones to kill them?  It’s the new form of warfare without risk. After all, the U.S. Government has never been known to abuse its power, or so we would like to believe. “We the People” have revisionist memories. So, for a quick trip down memory lane, I’ve included a number of abuses of power that headlined several past administrations, including:

  • President Roosevelt engaging FBI Director Hoover to turn the FBI into a secret police force, including “national security wiretaps,” intercepting mail and telegrams, and building countless files on suspected security risks
  • President Johnson’s use of the FBI for domestic political spying
  • Nixon and Kissinger bypassed the State Department and Congress by making a secret deal with China
  • Nixon’s long list of abuses, including the White House Plumbers; directing the IRS to conduct punitive investigations of political enemies; the Watergate cover-up; and criminal conspiracy to obstruct justice.  As Nixon said to David Frost: “When the president does it, that means that it’s not illegal.”
  • The CIA and its illegal covert domestic operation against anti-war protesters and other dissidents during the Nixon years
  • The Carter Administration’s secret support of Osama bin Laden and the Taliban during the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan
  • Reagan’s secret and illegal arms sales to Iran
  • The George W. Bush Administration’s legacy of unconstitutional NSA interception and data mining of domestic communications; suspension of due process for “enemy combatants”; “extraordinary rendition”; and torture and indefinite detention of suspects without formal charges or due process

And that’s just the shortlist.

The U.S. has a constitution to prevent such abuses and is supposed to have impartial and independent judicial oversight.  The Constitution and the judiciary were designed to function as a check on unwarranted power.  And the Obama administration has the gall to claim that acting as judge, jury, and executioner is legal and constitutional.

The Administration’s actions ignore fundamental principles of a free society: the right to face one’s accuser, the right to a legal defense, and the right to avoid punishment unless proven guilty in a court of law. The U.S. Government is willfully ignoring due process, one of the crucial underpinnings of American liberty, and expects us to blindly trust government officials with life and death decisions: decisions involving the killing of U.S. citizens.

The simple accusation of being a “terrorist” is enough to warrant a death sentence.  No crucial step from accusation to the requirement to be proved guilty in a public court. A secret accusation of being a terrorist = proof of guilt = execution.  That’s a deceitful formula undermining the very core of what supposedly makes America “great.”

Well, that doesn’t sound so great to me.

________________________________________________________________________________________

Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

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You say quoi que, I say Ethereum

Jack Cranston, writing from New York


As nations squabble over what currency will be used to trade oil, and high school kids open up Coinbase or Robinhood accounts to try and triple their allowance—I sit here with a sick feeling that the world is missing the point when it comes to crypto.

The future is Ethereum (ETH). Simply put, Ethereum is not just a currency (Ether). It is a currency and the future platform to trade ALL commodities and securities. Let’s use gold to illustrate the point.

The problem with investing in gold is that every gold bar out there probably has 100 owners. It’s a well-documented fact that the value of gold and silver is distorted.

So, if the Ethereum platform could be used to create a token that would verify the existence of a physical gold deposit, that token could eliminate the problem of knowing whether or not the physical commodity you own or have a loan against is actually there.

Any such token would become so powerful, that the token would immediately replace any futures contract or ETF for a commodity such as gold.

I could only surmise that the existence of such a vehicle would encourage the Chinese to embrace crypto and possibly send gold to some exorbitant dollar amount per ounce—or, better yet, some exorbitant dollar ETH amount per ounce. Fill in any number you like.

Verification is priceless. Even the people who DO understand that Ethereum can create tokens that can verify the existence of physical commodities or securities, don’t understand what I would call the “equity or ownership” component of Ethereum.

Consider conventional wisdom. People understand that you can exchange one currency for another (i.e., buy Bitcoin with U.S. Dollars) and make money off the exchange rate movements. People also understand that you can buy shares of a company like Tesla and make money as the value of the company’s earnings rises. People also understand buying a sector ETF like XLF. XLF gives you exposure to a group of banking stocks. So, if there is a positive fundamental environment for banks, XLF will go up…and XLF may lead to a broader index like SPY higher as well.

Ethereum represents an entirely different concept of ownership. It’s like buying equity in a financial system as a whole. What does that mean?

Well, it would be not unlike buying stock in the Federal Reserve. Since the Federal Reserve can literally create (or print) money, can you imagine the value of a stock in an entity that has the ability to create or print the earnings and dividends?

ETH gives you equity in a money and securities creation process. In Biblical terms, it would be the equivalent of buying a plot of land in the Garden of Eden. You could own a piece of “creation.” In this case, it would be the creation of a new financial universe.

Sound dramatic?

Ethereum can create trading vehicles that verify the existence and price of commodities or securities. Those tokens—in theory—would then replace futures and countless other trading vehicles. Ethereum’s DNA could spread so that every security traded might have a price in fiat and a price in crypto. For you macro folks, think of this. Instead of a petro-Dollar, ETH could create the petro-crypto.

You may laugh at this notion but, right now, “the people” are speaking Bitcoin. The world changes when people start thinking of an ETH-driven world.

I recently saw the exchange between Ethereum founder, Vitalik Buterin, and a television personality, with Buterin acknowledging (under clear duress) that the cryptocurrency market was a bubble. And that’s okay. As he made clear, bubbles encourage innovation. (Remember the high-flying e-commerce models during the dot-com bubbles at the turn of the century. Most said, “No way, no how will folks buy stuff over the Internet on a regular basis. Nope, won’t happen.”)

So, Buterin’s right about the innovation part but completely wrong about ETH being a bubble (remember, he’s a computer nerd not unlike code writers during the dot-com boom).

In my view, ETH could be the most absurdly undervalued financial instrument in human history. ETH’s fundamental value can’t be calculated because it is a vehicle that can be broadly used to restore integrity to the world’s financial system. This view stands in stark contrast to the average moronic assertion that price action in cryptocurrencies is the sequel to the tulip or dot-com bubble.

Honestly, I won’t be surprised to wake up one morning and find out Warren Buffet is sitting on a huge position in ETH and related crypto tokens.


Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

 

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The Mechanics of Crony Capitalism

Jack Cranston, writing from Ronda, Spain

Editor’s Note: Many say the Trump administration took crony capitalism to new heights. This post from Jack Cranston’s 2013 archives shows that no matter the presidential administration, crony capitalism is systemic in how Washington and Wall Street do business. He highlights a keen example.


Ever wonder how crony capitalists forge their connections?  A recent Bloomberg News story exposed the machinations and incentives behind a classic crony capitalist job placement.

Jack Lew, Obama’s nominee for the United States Treasury Secretary, worked for Citigroup between stints in government service, and he had an interesting condition included in his employment agreement with Citigroup.  He was incentivized to take a high-level position in the United States government.

Lew served in the Clinton administration as the director of the Office of Management and Budget.  Later, he worked at New York University as a professor and as an executive.  He went on to work for Citigroup in 2006 as the chief operating officer of Citi’s global wealth management division, eventually rising to the position of chief operating officer of Citi’s alternative investments unit in January 2008.

Lew’s employment agreement with Citigroup included standard golden handcuff provisions requiring that he stay with Citi long enough to earn a “guaranteed incentive and retention award,” and for his restricted company stock bonuses to vest. But his agreement also included an unusual clause where he could gain his retention award before the normal qualification period, and his awarded stock would vest if he accepted “a full-time high-level position with the U.S. government or regulatory body.”

Interestingly, other public-service positions wouldn’t qualify, such as positions in local or state government, or working at a high-profile nonprofit organization.  Only the acceptance of a high-level position with the U.S. government would qualify.

These incentives clearly aligned with Citigroup’s interests.  First, if it were to invest in a valuable employee like Lew, Citigroup naturally wanted him to stick around long enough for its investment to pay off.  This is common employment practice.  But it also wanted to incentivize an unusual alternative payoff: getting placed in high level position in the federal government where he could be of benefit to Citigroup.

And, guess what?

Lew was named a deputy secretary of State in 2009, returned to the Office of Management and Budget as director in 2010, and then became Obama’s chief of staff in 2012.

According to a financial disclosure statement filed when he reentered government service in 2009, Lew received $1.1 million of “salary and discretionary cash comp” from Citigroup, along with $250,001 to $500,000 of accelerated restricted Citigroup stock.  His salary in 2008 was $350,000.

Tellingly, this wasn’t a highly principled effort on Citigroup’s part to incentivize an employee who wanted to serve the public.  If so, a myriad of public service positions would have been included to qualify for the incentive package.  No, this was naked self-interest for Citigroup.

If you were Citigroup, wouldn’t you love to have one of your former senior executives appointed as the President’s chief of staff, or, better yet, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, with his signature on the nation’s currency?

This episode is an insightful glimpse into the machinations of crony capitalism and an example of how Washington and Wall Street work together.  Both of them prioritize their own interests at your expense. 

I encourage you to start living life on your own terms. Your best move is to take control of your life and prioritize your own interests.  The best way to do so is to internationalize your life, putting your business and personal interests and assets out of the reach of crony capitalists. 


Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

 

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Another financial crisis in paradise?

Jack Cranston, writing from San Miguel de Allende

Editor’s Note: Cyprus has had one of the fastest-growing economies in the European Union during the past several years. However, it doesn’t seem that long ago when Europe looked on in despair as the island appeared on the brink of financial collapse.

In March 2013, Jack Cranston wrote about the “Cyprus Solution” as panic spread through the Cyprus financial system. Fast forward to March 2016, after a three-year, €10 million financial aid package, a raft of reforms, and austerity measures, the country exited as one of the more robust eurozone economies, albeit at the expense of those who had invested their hard-earned money in Cyprus banks.

The COVID-19 pandemic has interrupted Cyprus’s strong economic growth. To cushion the impact of the crisis, however, authorities seemingly learned from mistakes of the past, rapidly introducing a targeted set of fiscal and financial policy support measures that have helped limit loan defaults and job losses, enabling a rapid, albeit uneven, recovery.


Given how quickly we moved on from Cyprus being a unique “one-off” event to the Cyprus solution being the basis for a new model for rescuing collapsing banks, investors the world over need to realize that the world has changed.  The banking industry will never be the same, and bank customers now have to worry about ravenous governments inventing new justifications for confiscating their deposits.

The new mantra for rescuing troubled banks and bailing-out bankrupt countries is “deposit to equity conversion.”  This is where government authorities forcibly convert bank depositors’ funds into equity in a troubled bank, with no guarantee that the equity will have any value in the future.   From now on, a good rule of thumb will be when you deposit money in a bank, think of it as if you invested in the bank’s stock.  If you wouldn’t buy a bank’s stock, then you should be leery of depositing money in that bank. 

A potential safe harbor, at least for the near term, is that the confiscating authorities seem to respect the concept of deposit insurance.  Yesterday, in an incredibly revealing quote that lifted the curtain on the true plans of political authorities, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch Finance Minister and President of the Eurogroup of eurozone finance ministers, in an interview with Reuters, said, “If there is a risk in a bank, our first question should be ‘Okay, what are you in the bank going to do about that? What can you do to recapitalize yourself?’ If the bank can’t do it, then we’ll talk to the shareholders and the bondholders, we’ll ask them to contribute in recapitalizing the bank, and if necessary, the uninsured deposit holders.”

In addition to this being the first admission that the Cyprus solution is the new model for dealing with failing banks, notice the reference to “uninsured deposit holders.”  Because of populist political pressure, the EU caved on taxing Cyprus deposits under €100,000, which was the threshold for Cypriot deposit insurance. Don’t count on this as your primary line of defense, but because it is evident that those with more than €100,000 on deposit don’t have sufficient political clout, holding more than that amount in a risky bank (undercapitalized) or in a potentially desperate jurisdiction is not advisable.

This leads to several takeaways from the Cyprus crisis that can serve as guidelines for what to do now.

  • If you are a foreigner, especially one perceived to be taking advantage of “offshore” banking in a jurisdiction under the influence of bankrupt nation-states, your funds on deposit will now be a target.

  • When selecting a bank, country risk has suddenly become a much greater concern.  If possible, you should consider stable countries with solid banking traditions such as Singapore, Hong Kong, Switzerland (as long as you are not hiding money), and Austria, as well as off-the-radar places such as Andorra and Norway.

  • Although it is not as much to bank on as it used to be, a decent Plan A is that if you can’t open a bank account in a first-tier secure jurisdiction, then at least don’t hold deposits above the local deposit insurance limit.

  • Holding assets in harder-to-confiscate forms is also a good idea. These include income-producing real estate (not in your home country) and precious metals.  Holdings of precious metals would ideally be in physical form (bullion coins and bars), with some in your physical possession, and some in offshore secure storage (not stored a bank!).

The downsides to holding assets in real estate and in precious metals are increased price volatility and illiquidity.  Real estate can be especially illiquid, and metals can be especially volatile.  So this presents a challenge for investors with a low-risk tolerance and who don’t want to hold the cash in a form, and in a place, where it could be easily confiscated.

That’s why we stick with the tried-and-true Permanent Portfolio approach developed by the late, great Harry Browne.  As a refresher, Browne recommended a simple 25% allocation of your core portfolio in the following asset classes: gold, cash, bonds, and stocks.  Even with the volatility of metals, and the risk that a particular asset class will produce no return, or even a loss, the balanced and non-correlated allocation of assets reduces overall portfolio volatility, and over time the portfolio has produced consistent and good returns.  The trick is to find the appropriate investments in each class. 

We prefer a mix of metals rather than just gold, being especially enamored of silver.  And for current income and risk reduction, you could hold a portion of your precious metals allocation in paper assets and then sell options against your holdings.  This is a good idea over the near term but be prepared to liquidate and convert the proceeds into physical metals if brokerage accounts come under attack.

Even better would be to use a separate entity that you control to hold those assets, or use a self-directed retirement plan, or a combination of both.  These add additional layers between your assets and the long arms of confiscating authorities.

Cash is not King these days, at the artificially low rates of interest manipulated by the Federal Reserve, but there are short-duration non-dollar fixed income investments that are almost as liquid as cash but generate better returns with less dollar risk. U.S. Treasury bonds are in the mother-of-all-bubbles so we would stay away from them, but there are many opportunities for reduced risk fixed-income investments that fit the bill.  And high-quality dividend stocks are a good bet for equity allocation. 

Now more than ever there is an urgent need to act.  It is quite clear that governments believe your private property is something to be confiscated to solve the problems that they created.  Get yourself and your assets out of harm’s way, or at least lay the foundation for a good escape plan.  Smart, international diversification is the key.


Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

 

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America’s killing fields – Part 2

Jack Cranston, writing from New York __________________________________________________________________________________________

Editor’s Note: According to an exposé in The Atlantic earlier this year, the U.S. government “maintains a kill list of people whom it condemns to die in secret and kills with drones.” Yet drone killings, which include American citizens, mete out death to individuals who have never been charged, tried, or convicted. Sound familiar? This is part 2 of a three-part series from Jack Cranston’s archives which illuminated this practice in 2012.

 

Unfortunately, the United States’ actions have only escalated during the past decade. These killings began under President George W. Bush, exploded under President Barack Obama, and accelerated under President Trump. According to Rolling Stone, reports estimate that Trump upped the pace of drone attacks by about four to five times the Obama rate, which itself was 10 times the rate of Bush. In a stunning development, NBC News published details of a confidential U.S. Department of Justice memo detailing the protocol for dispatching drones to kill U.S. citizens. Beyond its revolting subject matter, the memo is frightening because the justification is so broad for targeting an American to be killed by a drone attack.  The memo presents the case that only one of two conditions must be met:  1) the target must be a “senior operational leader” of Al-Qa’ida or 2) an “associated force.”We can leave it up to the CIA or military intelligence to classify someone as a “senior operational leader,” but what exactly is an “associated force?” According to the memo, anyone who “present[s] an ‘imminent’ threat of violent attack against the United States” qualifies for “a lawful killing in self-defense.” The assassination order “does not require the United States to have clear evidence that a specific attack on U.S. persons and interests will take place in the immediate future.” No requirement to have “clear evidence?” The Obama administration promotes the position that an American citizen can be assassinated if they were “recently” involved in threatening “activities.” What’s recent?  What’s the definition of threatening? What specific “interests” justify killing?” The definition of “associated force” is so broad that I could drive a super tanker through it. In the past, administration representatives such as John Brennan (White House Counterterrorism Adviser, current Director of the CIA, and progenitor of the drone assassination program) and Attorney General Eric Holder have misleadingly claimed that targeted killings are “consistent with the inherent right of (national) self-defense,” and can be justified when the target poses “an imminent threat of violent attack.” But the leaked memo, which goes by the ungainly title of “Lawfulness of a Lethal Operation Directed Against a U.S. Citizen Who Is a Senior Operational Leader of Al-Qa’ida or an Associated Force,” includes much broader definitions of self-defense and imminence. For example, the memo refers to a “broader concept of imminence” than any actual intelligence about a specific ongoing plot against the U.S. No need for “specific” or “actual” intelligence?  I’m beginning to doubt the intelligence of the people who dreamed-up this nightmare.  And Brennan has stated that the U.S. uses “a flexible understanding of ‘imminence’.”  Supertanker anyone? The memo goes on to state that a drone strike must be conducted according to “law of war principles.”  But here’s the rub: we’re not in a state of war.  Only the U.S. Congress can issue a formal declaration of war.  It’s a common misconception that the U.S. is engaged in a formal war on terrorism.  That’s just a catchphrase first used by President Bush after the 9/11 attacks. The U.S. is not even conducting a Congressionally approved “military engagement.”  The last one of those was “Operation Iraqi Freedom,” informally referred to as the Iraq War. And the U.S. is not even participating in a military engagement authorized by the United Nations Security Council.  The only one of those in the post-9/11 world is the 2011 military intervention in Libya. The Obama administration refers to its actions by the sanitized title of “Overseas Contingency Operation.”  It claims that the authority for its extra-judicial killings of American citizens is a law known as the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), now more than 11-years old.  The law was intended to authorize the President to use all “necessary and appropriate force” against anyone connected to the 9/11 attacks.  But it is now being used to cover the administration’s activities in what the White House press secretary has called a “new phase” of conflict with Al-Qa’ida. Obama, and Bush before him, claims the law as the legal basis of authority to kill “associated forces.”  But the original Congressional authorization was directed at those who planned and carried out the 9/11 attacks, or those who aided them, not any and all terrorists ad infinitum. And it’s not a formal declaration of war or a Congressionally-approved “military engagement.”  Once again, we have definitions wide enough for a supertanker.  Are all suspected terrorists and “associated forces” connected to Al-Qa’ida? And exactly what is “necessary and appropriate force?”  Does that mean war? The administration is hiding behind “war principles” to justify unconstitutional killing orders of Americans on American soil rather than have them classified as illegal assassinations.  Based on a series of executive orders, assassinations by the U.S. Government have been prohibited since the 1970s.  But the Obama administration claims that the prohibition doesn’t apply during wartime, even though war has not been formally declared. The circular logic makes me dizzy. In summary, you, as a U.S. citizen, could be targeted for assassination if you are considered to be an “associated force.”  No due process is involved.  The order to assassinate you does not require clear evidence.  It requires only that an administration official deems you to be an “imminent” threat, with the test of imminence being a “broader concept” or a “flexible understanding of imminence” rather than any actual intelligence regarding a specific plot against a vague concept of “interests.” And the administration claims that its unconstitutional killings are justified because of “wartime” conditions.  However, despite the fact that we are not formally at war, we are in a virtual and perpetual war that apparently will never end.  A war that works to the benefit of the administration so that it can expand its power owing to “emergency” conditions.  Thus, the exception to the assassination prohibition is permanently temporary. Get it? Remember when America was referred to as “the land of the free?” 

 

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Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

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George Orwell’s Playbook

Jack Cranston, Writing From: San Miguel de Allende, Mexico

Editor’s Note: This is a post from Jack Cranston’s 2013 archives showing escalation of the U.S. federal government’s never-ending infringement on U.S. citizens’ rights— justified by national security—which began in earnest under the George W. Bush administration. This draconian control by propaganda, surveillance, disinformation, denial of truth, and the manipulation of the past has continued to grow to a point that, in 2021, it seems oh, too common—particularly the United States.


According to an analysis by the Associated Press, in 2012 the U.S. Government used “national security” as an excuse to censor or withhold more documents requested by the public than at any time in the history of the Obama administration. 

Ironically, the man elected as the “anti-Bush,” in many ways, outdid his predecessor.  According to the ACLU, “We’ve seen a meteoric rise in the number of claims to protect secret law, the government’s interpretations of laws or its understanding of its own authority. In some ways, the Obama administration is actually even more aggressive on secrecy than the Bush administration.”

This is an administration that, ironically, boasts about its commitment to transparency.  A memorandum entitled Transparency and Open Government is posted on the White House website.  In the memo, President Obama writes that “My administration is committed to creating an unprecedented level of openness in government.  We will work together to ensure the public trust and establish a system of transparency, public participation, and collaboration. Openness will strengthen our democracy and promote efficiency and effectiveness in government.”

What’s actually occurring is that the administration is committed to creating an unprecedented level of secrecy and opaqueness.  The Obama administration’s motto should be “Just trust us.”

As with many of the administration’s initiatives, their hollow commitment to openness generates blowback and distain. 

The administration is catching flack for appearing to be committed to ever increasing amounts of secrecy.  It keeps secret its legal justifications, policies and actions that result in gross violations of American’s liberties.  Examples include assassinations via drone strike and the power to detain American citizens indefinitely and secretly in clear violation of their Constitutional rights, and the interception and gathering of all citizens’ electronic communications. 

These new-found actions are unjust, unconstitutional, and, quiet frankly, un-American. As much as the administration’s spin-doctors within the White House, military, and homeland security do their best to justify these actions, history, commonsense, and our collective moral compass say it’s not okay.

These secret activities, and the administration’s recalcitrant attitude toward the public’s demand for more information and Constitutional accountability, undermine the public trust.  As opposed to Obama’s claims, the administration’s secrecy and attitude are weakening America’s democracy and making for a less effective government.

The administration’s actions fly in the face of Obama’s high sounding but ultimately false and misleading promise that he made in his first week in office.  He promised that public requests for information would be “administered with a clear presumption: In the face of doubt, openness prevails.”  In reality, the policy is “when in doubt, classify it as secret.”

“Catch-22” seems to be the administration’s new favorite game.  Embedding national security in all logical loops allows it to circumvent legal challenges.  You can’t successfully sue the NSA for intercepting your electronic communications because you’d need evidence that your specific communications were intercepted, and that information can’t be obtained because it is a national security secret.  U.S. judges can’t rule on the legality of certain actions when pertinent information, information critical to a ruling, is classified as “secret” and can be withheld on the grounds of “national security.”

U.S. federal judge Colleen McMahon of New York recently ruled against The New York Times and the ACLU in their effort to access documents regarding drone attacks. 

She referred to an “Alice in Wonderland” predicament: “I find myself stuck in a paradoxical situation in which I cannot solve a problem because of contradictory constraints and rules—a veritable Catch-22,” the judge wrote. “I can find no way around the thicket of laws and precedents that effectively allow the executive branch of our government to proclaim as perfectly lawful certain actions that seem on their face incompatible with our Constitution and laws, while keeping the reasons for their conclusion a secret.”

This is the new modus operandi of the federal government: grab even more power, justify it due to emergency national security conditions (owing to a never-ending war on terrorism), ignore the Constitution, and keep it all secret. 

It’s all right out of George Orwell’s playbook.

Don’t wait until the U.S. government puts more sections of the Constitution into the shredder.  Internationalizing your life is your best form of self-insurance. Unfortunately you can’t just flip a switch and have it all done instantaneously. It takes time to establish foreign bank accounts, domicile businesses in favorable jurisdictions, and acquire new legal residences and citizenships. Self-reliance, including a risk management plan based on internationalization, is your best course of action. Sovereign X can help.


Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

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America’s killing fields – Part 1

Jack Cranston, writing from Geneva

Editor’s Note: According to an exposé in The Atlantic earlier this year, the U.S. government “maintains a kill list of people whom it condemns to die in secret and kills with drones.” Yet drone killings, which include American citizens, mete out death to individuals who have never been charged, tried, or convicted.

 

Sound familiar? This is part 1 of a three-part series from Jack Cranston’s archives which illuminated this practice in 2012. Unfortunately, the United States’ actions have only escalated during the past decade. These killings began under President George W. Bush, exploded under President Barack Obama, and accelerated under President Trump. According to Rolling Stone, reports estimate that Trump upped the pace of drone attacks by about four to five times the Obama rate, which itself was 10 times the rate of Bush.

 

Step by bloody step the U.S. government is descending down to the level of despotic actions that the U.S. professes to abhor.  Actions, for which it feels it must shoulder the burden as the “world’s policeman,” to protect the good freedom-loving citizens of the world from the acts of numerous evildoers and so-called bad guys.

 

The U.S. government is now showing its true colors and is starting to routinely act like the evildoers it claims it has an obligation to fight.

 

Using a very matter-of-fact tone, the U.S. Attorney General recently discussed the U.S. government’s official policy on assassinations, including the recent assassination of a U.S. citizen.  I have to pause for a moment when I write that sentence as, until recently, I could never have conceived of a U.S. official casually and openly discussing the assassination of U.S. citizens. 

 

This shows how much we need to open our minds to the possibilities of government using its self-granted powers of force to encroach upon our liberties and personal rights in a way that heretofore would have been considered unimaginable. 

 

In the view (and actions) of the current administration, its lawyers don’t have to obtain a judge’s approval before a top government official orders an assassination.  Attorney General Holder was recently quoted as saying “’Due process’ and ‘judicial process’ are not one and the same, particularly when it comes to national security.” Holder went on to say that the assassination approval process has some limits, including that the use of force won’t kill “too many civilians or non-combatants.”

 

Too many? Too many!?! 

 

Admittedly, the U.S. is attempting to follow international standards for avoiding the killing of too many civilians. But regardless of international or domestic standards, this is another grave and slippery slope. How many is too many? One, two, eight, thirteen, one hundred? 

 

Where do they draw the line?  How many innocent lives justify the death of a single target?

 

Holder is also effectively asking us to place blind trust in the administration.  They are not publically releasing their internal legal memos developed for the self-justification of assassination and the suspension of due process. For an issue like this that so severely tests the basic tenets of the U.S. Constitution and the bedrock principles of individual liberty, it should be subject to a very public examination. Keeping this matter private, to be assessed, approved, and authorized behind the curtain, strongly resembles the despotic and arbitrary nature of the rulers of governments that the U.S. so haughtily holds itself to be above.

 

To date, and as far as we know, their intention is to limit the assassination of U.S. citizens to only those outside of the country.  But what’s so magical about an arbitrary line on a map? 

 

A border is just a man-made line drawn in the sand. The air doesn’t magically change when you cross a border.  Time doesn’t reverse and the laws of physics aren’t altered when you cross a border.  Now that the administration is openly and easily suspending due process, what’s to stop the U.S. from assassinating U.S. citizens within the United States based on a self-justified and non-public opinion that the target is an enemy of the state? 

 

And what’s to stop the definition of “enemy,” or “national security,” from growing to encompass any action or statement that could be construed as being critical of the government.?  Or sufficiently unpatriotic? Remember, it wasn’t that long ago that a President of the U.S. said, “either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists.” 

 

We could easily see the day when someone that the government claims is “against us,” for any number of reasons, has to suffer the consequence of a suspension of due process because of a so-called and self-declared national “emergency.”

 

What has separated the United States throughout much of its history from despotic, tyrannical, and uncivilized nations? The rule of law and the fairness of its application, respect for individual liberties, at least by design and public proclamation, and a well-respected process that must be followed before depriving someone of their natural rights.  Few if any nations can match the United States’ track record of respecting the freedoms of its citizens, as spelled out so eloquently in the Bill of Rights.

 

What separates despotic nations from the U.S. is their track record of widespread abuses of individual rights, and the arbitrary arrest, imprisonment, and frequent murder of people suspected of failing to follow the decrees of tyrannical rulers. Or based on proclaimed “evidence” that is never made public.

 

The U.S. government’s non-public and self-justified reasoning for suspending due process is starting to look eerily similar to the tyrannical abuses of other nations.

 

The continued erosion of the rights and liberties that the Founding Fathers fought for is all the more reason to follow our recommendations for internationalizing your life and living life on your terms.  Diversify your life by putting all of your precious eggs, such as where and how you spend your time, your assets, and your business interests, in multiple and safer baskets.

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Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.

 

 

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Guns, Drugs, and the Left Behind

Jack Cranston, Writing From: San Miguel de Allende, Mexico


CNN reports that the recent deadly shooting in a FedEx facility is the 45th mass shooting in the United States in just the last month. The Commonwealth Fund recently released a report that the final total of deaths in 2020 by overdose in the U.S. could be some 30% higher than the previous record year of 2019. And U.S. News & World Report reports that cases of diseases of despair are “skyrocketing” in the U.S. These events are alarming, but I am also profoundly disturbed at the lack of attention paid to the root causes of these tragedies.

If you scan articles on these disasters, you will quickly find a common theme. Almost immediately after citing the alarming statistics, the writer will address what should be done about the particular crisis. Stories and opinion pieces on mass shootings will immediately shift focus to the gun problem in America. Stories on increasing drug overdoses will immediately shift to expanding budgets for programs to fight drug addiction.

While I support efforts to help addicts fight drug addiction, and while it makes no sense that a disturbed teenager can easily obtain an automatic weapon and ammunition, knee-jerk proposals aimed at fixing the problem are like putting analgesic cream and a band-aid on a cancerous tumor. And the systemic cause of these problems is arguably America’s most dangerous cancer, yet few people engage in critical conversations about this.

While not producing an all-inclusive list of root causes, I can quickly identify a common theme: the perpetrators and victims are those who feel left out, or left behind, or let down by society. All of these people have explicitly and implicitly been sold on the so-called “American Dream.”  They, however, eventually come to understand that reality falls far short of the painfully false promise.

While on the one hand, it seems baffling that more attention is not paid to the root causes of these problems, on the other hand, it makes perfect sense. To focus sharply on systemic change requires a self-examination that will reveal ugly truths and explode the myths of American exceptionalism. It’s a dark place where people are unwilling or psychologically unable to go.

It’s a lot easier to stick your head in the sand.

Two of the main drivers of feeling left behind are social media and Federal Reserve monetary policy. The Fed is on record as trying to engender a “wealth effect.”

Ever since the Great Recession of 2008—2009, the Fed has been trying to boost U.S. consumption. The academic solution from the New Keynesian school for what ails us economically is to increase demand.

So the Fed brain trust wants to inflate asset values (think stocks and real estate) so that people “feel” wealthier and increase consumer spending. (Note: I always thought the way to financial prosperity was to earn more, save more, and spend less, not to spend more. But, alas, they didn’t ask me.)

Our government creates the wealth effect through programs with names like “Quantitative Easing” or actions labeled as “Asset Purchases.” This, however, is simply good old-fashioned money printing—a disastrous policy that enables the rich to get richer at the expense of those left behind. It exacerbates the wealth and income gap. The millions of left-behind Americans don’t own any stocks, nor do they own their own homes. They’re struggling with how to pay for their next meal or tank of gas, not with whether they should buy shares in Coinbase’s initial public stock offering.

This growing gap leaves the left behind even further behind.

These are literally millions of people who feel like they were sold a bill of goods when raised on the propaganda of the American Dream. They end up in a personal debt crisis when they try to keep up with their consumerist neighbors. And they fall prey to nationalist authoritarians who sell them another bill of goods—to magically make things great for them again—and fall prey to purveyors of nefarious conspiracy theories.

Social media further exacerbates the left behind problem. Lifestyle influencers and TikTok stars who lead fabulous lives (or at least the perception that is created on camera) make those who are not rich enough or attractive enough or sufficiently well-dressed feel inadequate. It makes them feel like losers.

Enter vicious cycle.

This has been a problem with American media and advertising for decades, but it has devolved in the era of the Gods of Social Media. When I grew up, it was common for teenagers to say nasty things behind others’ backs. It’s now no-holds-barred vicious attacks by text, instant messaging, and social media platforms, driving those already feeling inadequate into deeper holes of despair.

Switching back to the Fed, another reason for the lack of focus on the monetary root cause is that it is not a simple problem that can be summed up in a pithy sound bite. Albert Einstein’s excellent quote is apropos: “Everything should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler.” The monetary explanation can be simplified to an extent, but apparently, not simple enough for most people to fathom.

Another reason for inadequately examining the monetary problem: focusing on monetary policy reform to minimize wealth and income gaps is antithetical to politicians. Those on the left hate guns but they love government deficit spending. And nowadays, politicians on the right seem to have embraced deficit spending just as avidly as their left-leaning brethren.

Increasing incidences of mass shootings and skyrocketing cases of diseases of despair are signs of a mighty empire on the decline. You can choose to get out of the line of fire—both figuratively and literally—and internationalize your life.

Instead of developing a Plan B to avoid the negative, you can develop a new Plan A to amplify the positive.

One of my partners has established a new home base in a country with a healthy democracy and strong support for civil rights. The climate and people are pleasant. There’s much less disparity between the haves and the have-nots. It is a resilient nation more likely to survive climate change and economic crises. And when not at home, he can spend time in areas that allow him to cherry-pick the best that the world has to offer.

Sovereign X stands ready to help you discover how you, too, can shed the strictures of a false narrative and learn how to live, work, and invest on your terms.


Jack Cranston is a partner of Sovereign X and resides in San Miguel de Allende.